By day three of the campaign, at least four American troops had been killed, and Trump said Monday the operation could last “four to five weeks”—though he acknowledged it could run longer and declined to rule out the deployment of ground forces. The prospect of a protracted conflict heightens the financial stakes considerably, as Smetters’ models assume costs escalate sharply beyond the two-month mark. Fortune previously reported that the U.S. may rapidly run out of munitions, as previous war games indicate as little as a week’s worth of supplies, although the exact number is classified.
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1980—2000年，秘鲁持续内战，6.9万至7万人死亡或失踪。与此同时，国家陷入债务危机，外债在1980年代中期一度接近甚至超过GDP规模，政府几近破产，经济体系濒临崩溃。
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